This is a good sign. The oral argument in McDonald v. Chicago will be on my birthday, March 2, 2010. It’s going to go well for Alan Gura and his clients (plaintiffs). I can feel it.
The now-exposed hoax and fraud of man-made global warming has shown that the scientific method was replaced with politics by a lot of people who should have know better. So what is meant by the “scientific method?” Well, one thing it means all the time and everywhere is that the data be made available to others so they can test the hypothesis to reproduce the results that were obtained by others. That the global warming proponents hid the data to prevent honest peer review of their hypothesis was a sure sign that the scientific method had been tossed out.
Here is what the scientific method is, or is supposed to be:
The Scientific Method
1. The scientific method is a complex, variable, human process which differs in detail from scientist to scientist, and from discovery to discovery. The method can be idealized as a cycle of observation, synthesis, hypothesis and prediction.
a. The first step in most scientific studies is the collection of data, including observations, measurement, and experiments.
b. The second step is the recognition of patterns– the search for symmetries. Most scientists have a deeply held belief that there are regularities and patterns in the physical universe.
i. Sometimes this step involves recognizing similarities among seemingly different phenomena, such as different forms of electricity.
ii. Sometimes this step is a mathematical synthesis, fitting disparate data into one type of equation, such as Kepler’s discovery of elliptical planetary orbits.
c. Once a pattern is found, the scientist will propose a possible explanation in the form of a hypothesis.
d. A scientific hypothesis, theory, or law must lead to unambiguous and testable predictions, requiring a new round of observations. Consequently, a scientific theory can always be disproved by an unfulfilled prediction, but it can never be completely proved.
e. At the center of this idealized cycle there is always a paradigm— a prevailing system of expectations about the natural world.
2. The scientific method is rarely followed as an exact cycle. Human imagination, intuition, and chance are vital elements of the process.
a. The example of Dmitri Mendeleev and the periodic table of elements exemplifies the scientific method.
b. Often an anomaly leads to new insights.
i. When anomalies are found that violate well-tested theories and laws, it usually means that the old theory or law is a valid special case of a more general law.
ii. An everyday example is provided by the “hypothesis” that all objects fall under the force of gravity. The anomaly of a helium-filled balloon leads to deeper understanding
c. The scientific method is an elegant process for learning about the natural world, but it is neither intuitive nor obvious..
When the Earth stopped warming in 1997 and underwent a period of cooling that appears to be continuing today, this was a failure of a major prediction by the global warming proponents. Instead of a new round of data collection followed by a new hypothesis, the proponents merely changed the name of their pet theory from global warming to climate change and did their damnedest to hide the data and demonize other scientists who questioned their methods and conclusions. Of course, that was not good science and it turns out, it was not good politics either.
I’ve changed the name of this blog because I found that it is used by some other blogs which, upon perusing them, I don’t think much of them and don’t want to be confused with them. I thought that T-JAW was a clever abbreviation for “Truth, Justice and the American Way.” As usual I’ve found, clever has backfired. Continuing to use “T-JAW” will detract from rather than promote my slogan because of the ugly ways it seems to be used by others. So I’ll just go by my own name from now on. I hope I won’t find out there is some ax murderer out there with a name the same as mine.
The “Look Inside” link won’t work, but this one will.
My commitment to liberty and my belief that we’re all different and as free citizens (as opposed to mere subjects) we make our own decisions usually keeps me from telling other people what they should do with their lives, but here and now I would like to tell you to get this book and read it. It is nothing short of great, and greatness is always scarce and much appreciated when it is found.
If you are already familiar with Yale computer science professor David Gelernter but were not yet aware of this book you’ve probably left this page by now and gone straight to Amazon to order it. But for anyone not acquainted with Professor Gerlernter you will find this Powerline post to be a wonderful introduction. And there’s this from the Weekly Standard:
“David has written a spectacular book. It’s at once short and deep; it’s a fun and easy read with many stop-let-me-think-about-that moments; it’s both scholarly and inspiring. David’s exploration of the role of images, or what he calls ‘image-themes,’ in Judaism is fascinating, and his explanation of how Judaism’s ‘multi-layered images’ reveal and explain ‘the unique beauty and truth of the Jewish worldview’ is extraordinary.
“Gelernter writes that his is a book primarily for Jews, and I’d think that will prove to be the case. But his account of ‘Judaism at full strength, straight up; no water, no soda, aged in oak for three thousand years’ will I suspect prove fascinating to many serious people of other faiths, especially Judaism’s little brother or cousin, Christianity. For David has written a book that, in its exploration of Judaism, tells us something-tells us a lot-about the human condition.”
You need not be Jewish to read this book, although Professor Gelernter says he wrote it mostly for Jews. That’s because he counsels Jews to give up their hostility to Christianity and Christians. He says, in a letter to the Powerlineblog:
My book argues in closing that Judaism must relax its traditional (and understandable) hostility towards Christianity: this prodigal son wants to return, and Judaism must forgive injuries and rise to the occasion–as Jews must, also, take their place as the senior nation of the Western world–and frankly acknowledge Judaism’s role (a mixed blessing) as the most important intellectual development in Western history.
But even if Gelernter wrote this book mainly for Jews I think it’s for anyone because it’s about Judaism in human civilization.
Wise, cultivated, genial conversation is the last flower of civilization. Conversation is our account of ourselves. It is, in a word, how we search for and discover the truth. And truth, that which is right and just, ultimately is what propels us to work as engaged citizens in ways that have real, tangible impact on the future direction of our Republic.
—Attributed to Ralph Waldo Emerson
Washington Examiner has the story. Here is a teaser…
Two-dozen Democrats from Republican-leaning districts, who voted for the House version of President Obama’s increasingly unpopular health care reform, are beginning to feel a growing public backlash. ReversetheVote.org has already raised $123,105 that will be dedicated exclusively to defeating all 24, including Rep. Gerry Connolly, D-Va., in 2010 if they don’t reject the final conference committee version of the bill. They “voted to take away your healthcare and put it in the hands of federal bureaucrats,” the Web site says. “Democrats made a choice … next fall, voters will make a choice.”
They’re not the only ones. Twenty-nine other House Democrats who voted for the bill come from districts that John McCain carried, making them particularly vulnerable to an angry electorate that never bought into the “hope and change” hype in the first place.
Do read the whole thing.
Anyone who thinks the tea party protests are over has another think coming. The American people are riled up and this won’t be going away soon. Lots of photos of today’s event at Gateway Pundit.
The old line was that bloggers just steal from the old media. It is becoming increasingly obvious that bloggers actually report news that the old media covers up. On whether bloggers are simply re-cycling old media news stories, Mark Steyn sets it straight:
That’s laughably untrue in the Warmergate story. If you rely on the lavishly remunerated “climate correspondents” of the big newspapers and networks, you’ll know nothing about the Climate Research Unit scandals – just the business-as-usual drivel about Boston being underwater by 2011. Indeed, even when a prominent media warm-monger addresses the issue, the newspaper prefers to reprint a month-old column predating the scandal. If you follow online analysis from obscure websites on the fringes of the map, you’ll know what’s going on. If you go to the convenience store and buy today’s newspaper, you won’t. That’s the problem.
Read the whole thing here.
One is never too old to appreciate true erotica in the movies, or on TV. But there are a couple of problems. First, one would have to find it. That becomes a problem after one understands what true erotica actually is, and that too often mere pornography is offered as an unworthy substitute. Lots of soft porn is in the offing at the movies or on TV, but not much true erotica. Not like the final scene in the BBC series The Heat of the Sun where former Scotland Yard detective Albert Tyburn (Trevor Eve) and the attractive, strong-willed biplane pilot Emma Fitzgerald (Susannah Harker) finally, after several episodes of struggling with military politics and crime fighting in Kenya, raise a glass and embrace in the warm romance of an African sunset. The swirling camera angles and the anticipation that he might finally kiss her are unrequited as the scene closes, except of course where it really belongs, in our imagination.
Alicia Colon finds true erotica in the 1932 movie Tarzan the Ape Man. Before you laugh out loud please read what she says about it. Here is a sample:
Erotica should be what arouses sensuality and sexual desire in the imagination. Pornography is a cheap substitute to genuine sensuality by replacing it with naked thrusts and bursts of faux gasps of passion. How trite compared to visions created in our minds stimulated by a simple touch, look or gesture. Last night I watched the TCM channel which ran a surprising example of true erotica-Tarzan-the Ape Man.
Laugh if you will but Johnny Weismuller and Maureen O’Sullivan generate more heat in this 1932 action adventure film then any of the actors and actresses starring buck naked and writhing in today’s features.
Read the whole thing here, which is Part I, with Part II promised for tomorrow.
UPDATE: The scene in the Michael Mann directed movie Collateral where cab driver Max (Jamie Foxx) picks up the fare of his life in Annie (Jada Pinckett Smith) a beautiful young assistant United States attorney on her way to the office may be one of the most romantic scenes in a movie I’ve seen lately. The murmuring growl of Hands of Time by Groove Armada on the soundtrack helped immensely. You fully expect them to become lovers, but that’s not in the script. We don’t see Annie again until… well, rent or buy the DVD.
Why the green receiver? Well, not a bad color for the receiver of a great sporting shotgun. Also, the receiver is made of anodized aluminum alloy that is lightweight and will not rust or corrode. I understand the Beretta engineers immersed it in salt water for a few months then took it out, cleaned it up and it worked fine. Cool. I need one of these. They say they will be in stores in time for Christmas. Expected MSRP about $1600.
“Uh, Honey, you know when you asked what I wanted for Christmas and I said I didn’t want anything? Well…uh…”
BTW, Beretta is the oldest manufacturing company in the world, founded in 1526.
UPDATE: Current issue of Guns & Ammo(February, 2010) has a main feature on this shotgun.
He’s right. The Bill, or Bills, the 2,074-page Senate Health Care Bill and the 2,014-page House counterpart, are both unredeemable. All they offer is a huge loss of liberty, wealth and health for all Americans.
Krauthammer says do health care reform the right way and offers several excellent suggestions in his excellent article.
I have two little nitpicks though. He wants to tax employer paid health care. I say leave that as it is and give individuals who buy health insurance on their own the same tax break. There ain’t no such thing as a free lunch [TANSTAAFL, Robert Heinlein, The Moon is a Harsh Mistress] and there ain’t no such thing as a good tax increase [TANSTAAGTI, Willis].
Then Krauthammer says that “Insuring the uninsured is a moral imperative.” Imperative for whom? Why is it a moral imperative that everyone is entitled to have someone else pay for their health care? Will you pay for mine? Do you expect me to pay for yours? No, the only moral imperative is that the government stop most of what it is already doing in health care because that is what is making it and the insurance we need for it so expensive.
Bank robberies annually have been 11 per 100 commercial bank branches since 1979, but have fallen to 6 per hundred in the last year. In a recession bank robberies usually increase. So how did this happen? With Walmart-style greeters! Cool.
Howard Dean says he would vote to kill it. For all the wrong reasons, of course. But his conclusion is right.
It’s the name of an excellent book by Roy Spencer, but I’m talking about real confusion now. Not the recently found emails that show that the science behind man-made global warming was trumped up, but the climate confusion that caused so much trouble for the Pilgrims who landed at Plymouth Rock in December, 1620.
You may wonder why they didn’t know better than to head to the Northeastern coast of the New World so late in the year, when bitter cold awaited them. Actually, they intended to arrive much sooner but their ship, named the Speedwell and later changed to the Mayflower, began to sink soon after leaving England and they had to return for repairs. That made their departure much later than they had planned but they weren’t worried. They knew they were going to a place of just about the same latitude they were leaving. They concluded that the weather would be about the same as that part of England, and December would not be much worse than November or even October.
Here is where climate confusion comes in. They didn’t know that latitude alone does not control weather and in fact some Northern latitudes have milder weather than other areas farther South in latitude. They didn’t know that ocean currents have a huge effect on the weather of a region, and that the relatively mild weather of Southern England in December turns to bitter cold in that part of North America that is now Massachusetts. So when they arrived they were greeted with a bitter cold that they did not expect and which cost them dearly over the ensuing winter. Climate confusion. It was a problem then, and still is. At least the Pilgrims had not been duped by a bunch of liberals calling themselves scientists.