TeeJaw Blog

Dems Take A Hit On Reconciliation; Slaughter Solution is Unconstitutional; Pelosi Lacks Votes For Senate Bill; Obama Approval At a New Low; What Could Go wrong?

Posted in Government and Politics by TeeJaw on Thursday, March 11, 2010, 10: 41 PM

We are living in interesting times. The Democrats are cracking up. They are starting to look like Wiley Coyote with everything blowing up in their face. But unlike Wiley Coyote they may not regain their composure and strength in the next frame of the cartoon.

The Senate parliamentarian has made the ruling that anyone who can read a few paragraphs of a Senate rule could have easily predicted. Reconciliation of the Senate Bill on Obamacare cannot begin unless and until it is passed by the House and signed into law by the President. The reconciliation process in the Senate is solely to reconcile budget matters on a law that has already been passed and presented to the President, and signed into law. Of course, when it comes to Obamacare once the Senate has its version of Obamacare enacted it will have little interest in any reconciliation. Neither will Obama. And besides, the changes being promised to House members to get their votes are not budget matters and can’t be done with reconciliation. So it won’t happen. But Pelosi, Reid and Obama will continue the charade until Obama signs the bill, and then move on to something else and forget they ever heard of anything called reconciliation.

Then there is the Slaughter solution, bearing the name of the genius who thought of it, Louise Slaughter, Democrat House member from New York and chairman of the House Rules Committee. Her idea is to pass the Senate Bill by not voting on it. She says they can just change the rules and “deem” it to have been passed by the House. No need to actually have a vote. Getting the bill passed is too important and there isn’t time to waste with voting. Well, they pass bills without reading them, why not pass them without voting on them as well? Just one little problem with that. The United States Constitution. Specifically, Article I, Section 7, which states as follows:

Every Bill which shall have passed the House of Representatives and the Senate, shall, before it become a Law, be presented to the President of the United States; If he approve he shall sign it, but if not he shall return it, with his Objections to that House in which it shall have originated, who shall enter the Objections at large on their Journal, and proceed to reconsider it. If after such Reconsideration two thirds of that House shall agree to pass the Bill, it shall be sent, together with the Objections, to the other House, by which it shall likewise be reconsidered, and if approved by two thirds of that House, it shall become a Law. But in all such Cases the Votes of both Houses shall be determined by Yeas and Nays, and the Names of the Persons voting for and against the Bill shall be entered on the Journal of each House respectively. If any Bill shall not be returned by the President within ten Days (Sundays excepted) after it shall have been presented to him, the Same shall be a Law, in like Manner as if he had signed it, unless the Congress by their Adjournment prevent its Return, in which Case it shall not be a Law.

Darn those founding fathers! They must have thought that someone like Louise Slaughter would come along someday and try this little trick. So they made sure to insert language into the Constitution that specifically covers it and forbids it. If the Dems continue with the Slaughter solution, and they will, the Republicans will petition the Supreme Court and my guess is that the Supreme Court will act quickly and say it is unconstitutional. It’s just too easy a question for them to pass it up. Especially after the Democrats dissed them so unfairly and with so little class at the State of the Union Speech.

That Pelosi is having trouble getting the votes to pass the Senate Bill becomes more obvious with every passing day. The Slaughter solution is so clear an act of desperation that would not be necessary if the votes were there.

Obama’s approval is at it lowest in all the polls. He’s at 43% in Rasmussen, not much higher in Gallup. His bus tour to garner support for government health care is plagued with “nomentum.” He is giving speeches to audiences consisting of invited guests only, the public not allowed in. That smacks of preaching to the choir, and fear of hecklers.

As of the time this was posted Obamacare was trading at 47 on Intrade, down 5. The means that 53% of the people betting their own money believe Obamacare will not be enacted into law by June 30, and 47% believe it will be. Just a week ago Obamacare had surged to over 60.

The Democrats are in a mess of their own making. Oh, what a tangled web they weave when they first strive to deceive. And in the fields of destiny they are reaping what they have sown. [Apologies to John Greenleaf Whittier and Sir Walter Scott.]

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